Polymarket · Geopolitics

Will Israel win on 2026-06-09?

Geopolitics expectations are steady at 10.0% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 10.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 29/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 10.0%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 95 Liquidity 524 Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality29.3
Momentum0.0
Urgency69.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 10.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 29/100.

Same theme
Games Total: O/U 2.5 50.1% · Thin Market · score 54 T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: China vs Philippines 84.0% · Probability Surge · score 51 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? 0.9% · Watch · score 38 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? 5.7% · Watch · score 37 NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? 2.7% · Watch · score 34 Xi Jinping out before 2027? 7.1% · Watch · score 34