Polymarket · Energy

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 14, 2026?

Energy expectations are steady at 16.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 16.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 31/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 16.5%
Signal Watch
Score 14
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 97 Liquidity 1.2K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality31.0
Momentum0.0
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 16.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 31/100.

Same theme
Will Iran close its airspace by June 12? 7.5% · Probability Fade · score 69 Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? 4.5% · Probability Fade · score 66 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? 24.5% · Probability Fade · score 61 Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? 9.0% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 48.0% · Probability Surge · score 58 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? 40.5% · Probability Surge · score 55