Polymarket · Energy

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18?

Energy expectations are steady at 47.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 47.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 50/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 47.5%
Signal Watch
Score 32
Freshness 15s
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.9K Liquidity 40.1K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality49.7
Momentum0.0
Urgency56.9
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 47.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 50/100.

Same theme
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? 5.5% · Probability Fade · score 67 Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 46.5% · Probability Surge · score 63 Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? 8.0% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? 24.5% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 48.0% · Probability Surge · score 58 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 58.5% · Probability Fade · score 55