Polymarket · Energy

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 13, 2026?

Energy expectations are steady at 7.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 7.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 43/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 7.5%
Signal Watch
Score 19
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 975 Liquidity 19.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality42.6
Momentum0.0
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 7.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 43/100.

Same theme
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13? 5.5% · Probability Fade · score 66 Will Iran close its airspace by June 15? 6.0% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30? 18.0% · Probability Fade · score 59 Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 48.0% · Probability Surge · score 58 Saman Ghoddoos: 2+ goals 26.0% · Probability Fade · score 57 Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 45.5% · Probability Surge · score 55