Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will the Democratic Party win the NY-04 House seat?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 78.0% on a thin market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 78.0%. 24h move +5.0 pts. 7d move +5.0 pts. Data quality 23/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 78.0%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 30
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 94 Liquidity 32 Spread 0.3 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality22.7
Momentum41.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move5.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 78.0%. 24h move +5.0 pts. 7d move +5.0 pts. Data quality 23/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

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