Polymarket · Geopolitics

Will Israel strike 12 countries in 2026?

Geopolitics expectations are steady at 0.3% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 0.3%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 54/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 0.3%
Signal Watch
Score 28
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 93.5K Liquidity 24.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality53.9
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 0.3%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 54/100.

Same theme
Israel closes its airspace by June 13? 1.1% · Probability Fade · score 55 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 30? 39.0% · Probability Fade · score 38 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? 4.3% · Watch · score 34 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? 5.5% · Watch · score 33 Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30? 1.3% · Watch · score 33 Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? 12.0% · Watch · score 32