Polymarket · Geopolitics

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Geopolitics expectations are rising at 8.0% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is rising at 8.0%. 24h move +4.6 pts. 7d move +4.6 pts. Data quality 62/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 8.1%
Signal Watch
Score 59
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 892.9K Liquidity 85.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality61.9
Momentum46.5
Urgency74.2
7d Move4.6 pts

Geopolitics expectation is rising at 8.0%. 24h move +4.6 pts. 7d move +4.6 pts. Data quality 62/100.

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