Polymarket · Energy

Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Energy expectations are falling at 11.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is falling at 11.5%. 24h move -9.5 pts. 7d move -9.5 pts. Data quality 30/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Probability 11.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 48
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 95 Liquidity 854 Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality30.4
Momentum80.1
Urgency25.0
7d Move-9.5 pts

Energy expectation is falling at 11.5%. 24h move -9.5 pts. 7d move -9.5 pts. Data quality 30/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

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