Polymarket · Energy

Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Energy expectations are falling at 35.0% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is falling at 35.0%. 24h move -10.0 pts. 7d move -10.0 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Probability 35.0%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 48
Freshness 2m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 94 Liquidity 267 Spread 0.4 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality26.8
Momentum83.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move-10.0 pts

Energy expectation is falling at 35.0%. 24h move -10.0 pts. 7d move -10.0 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

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