Polymarket · Energy

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?

Energy expectations are rising at 66.0% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 66.0%. 24h move +6.5 pts. 7d move +6.5 pts. Data quality 56/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 66.0%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 58
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 96.3K Liquidity 52.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality55.6
Momentum61.7
Urgency56.8
7d Move6.5 pts

Energy expectation is rising at 66.0%. 24h move +6.5 pts. 7d move +6.5 pts. Data quality 56/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? 86.5% · Probability Surge · score 71 Will Iran close its airspace by December 31? 38.5% · Probability Fade · score 58 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026? 58.0% · Probability Surge · score 58 Saman Ghoddoos: 2+ goals 24.0% · Probability Fade · score 57 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in June? 8.5% · Probability Fade · score 47 Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 38.5% · Probability Fade · score 45