Polymarket · Energy

Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Energy expectations are steady at 7.5% on a moderate-quality market. Energy expectation is steady at 7.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 7.5%
Signal Watch
Score 26
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.9K Liquidity 31.7K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality49.2
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Energy expectation is steady at 7.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 49/100.

Same theme
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? 65.0% · Probability Surge · score 67 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026? 97.5% · Probability Surge · score 64 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? 1.0% · Probability Fade · score 61 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? 65.5% · Probability Surge · score 61 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? 70.5% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June? 16.9% · Probability Surge · score 60