Polymarket · Energy

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

Energy expectations are rising at 65.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 65.5%. 24h move +6.0 pts. 7d move +6.0 pts. Data quality 68/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 65.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 58
Freshness 1m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 8.9M Liquidity 144.4K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality68.5
Momentum52.8
Urgency47.6
7d Move6.0 pts

Energy expectation is rising at 65.5%. 24h move +6.0 pts. 7d move +6.0 pts. Data quality 68/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026? 97.5% · Probability Surge · score 73 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? 88.5% · Probability Surge · score 67 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16? 65.0% · Probability Surge · score 66 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? 0.9% · Probability Fade · score 61 Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30? 48.0% · Probability Surge · score 53 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19? 67.5% · Probability Surge · score 53