Polymarket · Energy

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?

Energy expectations are rising at 61.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 61.5%. 24h move +5.0 pts. 7d move +5.0 pts. Data quality 55/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 61.5%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 58
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 93.9K Liquidity 37.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality54.8
Momentum54.0
Urgency70.9
7d Move5.0 pts

Energy expectation is rising at 61.5%. 24h move +5.0 pts. 7d move +5.0 pts. Data quality 55/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 18? 66.0% · Probability Surge · score 73 Will US announce location or date of US and Iran deal signing by June 15, 2026? 97.5% · Probability Surge · score 64 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? 1.0% · Probability Fade · score 61 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026? 70.0% · Probability Surge · score 60 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026? 79.5% · Probability Surge · score 60 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 49.5% · Probability Fade · score 59