Polymarket · Geopolitics
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Geopolitics expectations are steady at 100.0% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 100.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 73/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
100.0%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
50
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 8.7M
Liquidity 4.4M
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality72.7
Momentum0.0
Urgency95.0
7d Move0.0 pts
Geopolitics expectation is steady at 100.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 73/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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