Polymarket · Energy

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 21, 2026?

Energy expectations are rising at 99.4% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is rising at 99.4%. 24h move +35.9 pts. 7d move +33.4 pts. Data quality 56/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 99.4%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 63
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 96.8K Liquidity 54.2K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality55.7
Momentum75.0
Urgency57.3
7d Move33.4 pts

Energy expectation is rising at 99.4%. 24h move +35.9 pts. 7d move +33.4 pts. Data quality 56/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

Same theme
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? 75.5% · Probability Surge · score 67 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland? 35.5% · Probability Fade · score 63 US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026? 84.3% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? 82.0% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at >$84 in June? 14.5% · Probability Fade · score 60 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026? 35.5% · Watch · score 57