Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will another party win the popular vote in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 21.0% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 21.0%. 24h move +6.0 pts. 7d move +6.0 pts. Data quality 31/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 21.0%
Signal Probability Surge
Score 40
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 86 Liquidity 1.5K Spread 0.4 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality30.5
Momentum58.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move6.0 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is rising at 21.0%. 24h move +6.0 pts. 7d move +6.0 pts. Data quality 31/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.

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