Polymarket · Politics & Policy

Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.0 and 38.4 on June 19, 2026?

Politics & Policy expectations are falling at 10.5% on a moderate-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 10.5%. 24h move -18.0 pts. 7d move -18.5 pts. Data quality 37/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 10.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 58
Freshness 3m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 984 Liquidity 1.3K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality36.8
Momentum75.0
Urgency71.4
7d Move-18.5 pts

Politics & Policy expectation is falling at 10.5%. 24h move -18.0 pts. 7d move -18.5 pts. Data quality 37/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will Starmer say "Hate" or "Hatred" during the next PMQ? 51.5% · Probability Surge · score 66 Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? 35.5% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June? 27.0% · Probability Fade · score 58 Will Trump say "Regarded" in June? 34.5% · Probability Fade · score 56 Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026? 29.0% · Probability Surge · score 55 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026? 14.0% · Probability Fade · score 55