Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
Geopolitics expectations are falling at 2.4% on a high-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 2.4%. 24h move -0.0 pts. 7d move -1.2 pts. Data quality 62/100.
Probability
2.4%
Signal
Watch
Score
32
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 917.5K
Liquidity 95.2K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality62.3
Momentum2.6
Urgency25.0
7d Move-1.2 pts
Geopolitics expectation is steady at 2.4%. 24h move -0.0 pts. 7d move -1.2 pts. Data quality 62/100.
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