Polymarket · Geopolitics
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?
Geopolitics expectations are falling at 17.0% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is falling at 17.0%. 24h move -11.0 pts. 7d move -11.0 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
17.0%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
41
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 95
Liquidity 265
Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality27.3
Momentum63.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move-11.0 pts
Geopolitics expectation is falling at 17.0%. 24h move -11.0 pts. 7d move -11.0 pts. Data quality 27/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
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