Polymarket · Energy

Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?

Energy expectations are falling at 71.5% on a high-quality market. Energy expectation is falling at 71.5%. 24h move -8.0 pts. 7d move -8.0 pts. Data quality 61/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 71.5%
Signal Probability Fade
Score 57
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 957.0K Liquidity 53.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality61.1
Momentum55.4
Urgency49.9
7d Move-8.0 pts

Energy expectation is falling at 71.5%. 24h move -8.0 pts. 7d move -8.0 pts. Data quality 61/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.

Same theme
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June? 88.5% · Probability Surge · score 70 US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026? 99.5% · Probability Surge · score 61 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? 6.5% · Probability Fade · score 61 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $79 on June 16? 14.5% · Probability Fade · score 60 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? 18.0% · Probability Surge · score 59 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? 99.4% · Probability Surge · score 56