Polymarket · Geopolitics
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30?
Geopolitics expectations are falling at 7.0% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is falling at 7.0%. 24h move -5.5 pts. 7d move -5.5 pts. Data quality 46/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
Probability
7.0%
Signal
Probability Fade
Score
37
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.1K
Liquidity 9.2K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality46.2
Momentum31.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move-5.5 pts
Geopolitics expectation is falling at 7.0%. 24h move -5.5 pts. 7d move -5.5 pts. Data quality 46/100. Expectation is fading; watch for reversal in related assets.
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