Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?
Geopolitics expectations are rising at 19.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 19.5%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 38/100.
Probability
19.5%
Signal
Watch
Score
22
Freshness
24s
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 893
Liquidity 2.3K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality37.7
Momentum2.9
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.5 pts
Geopolitics expectation is steady at 19.5%. 24h move +0.5 pts. 7d move +0.5 pts. Data quality 38/100.
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