Polymarket · Politics & Policy
Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Politics & Policy expectations are rising at 98.4% on a high-quality market. Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 98.4%. 24h move +0.4 pts. 7d move +0.4 pts. Data quality 56/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
98.4%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
27
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 96.5K
Liquidity 50.7K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality55.6
Momentum6.5
Urgency5.0
7d Move0.4 pts
Politics & Policy expectation is steady at 98.4%. 24h move +0.4 pts. 7d move +0.4 pts. Data quality 56/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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