Polymarket · Rates & Inflation

Will one person dissent the June Fed decision?

Rates & Inflation expectations are falling at 11.0% on a moderate-quality market. Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 11.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 37/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 11.0%
Signal Watch
Score 27
Freshness 4m
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 875 Liquidity 1.7K Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality37.0
Momentum2.9
Urgency52.7
7d Move-0.5 pts

Rates & Inflation expectation is steady at 11.0%. 24h move -0.5 pts. 7d move -0.5 pts. Data quality 37/100.

Same theme
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% in May? 26.0% · Probability Fade · score 49 Will Core CPI MoM be -0.1% in May? 26.1% · Probability Fade · score 45 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? 1.1% · Watch · score 33 Will Argentina's monthly inflation in May 2026 be less than or equal to 2.1%? 41.0% · Watch · score 33 Will four or more people dissent the June Fed decision? 1.0% · Watch · score 31 Will Trump say "Jerome" or "Powell" this week? 40.5% · Watch · score 29