Polymarket · Geopolitics

Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?

Geopolitics expectations are steady at 10.0% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 10.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 45/100.

View Source Market Back to Pulse
Probability 10.0%
Signal Watch
Score 24
Freshness now
Probability history

Expectation over time

Volume 9.0K Liquidity 4.5K Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy

Why it ranks here

Quality44.7
Momentum0.0
Urgency25.0
7d Move0.0 pts

Geopolitics expectation is steady at 10.0%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 45/100.

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