Polymarket · Geopolitics
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Hong Kong, China vs Malaysia
Geopolitics expectations are steady at 77.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 77.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 39/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
Probability
77.5%
Signal
High Conviction
Score
26
Freshness
49s
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 924
Liquidity 3.3K
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality38.6
Momentum0.0
Urgency50.2
7d Move0.0 pts
Geopolitics expectation is steady at 77.5%. 24h move +0.0 pts. 7d move +0.0 pts. Data quality 39/100. Crowd conviction is high; surprise risk may sit in the opposite outcome.
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