Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026?
Geopolitics expectations are falling at 7.4% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 7.4%. 24h move -0.1 pts. 7d move -0.1 pts. Data quality 44/100.
Probability
7.5%
Signal
Watch
Score
24
Freshness
1m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.6K
Liquidity 3.0K
Spread 0.0 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality43.9
Momentum0.6
Urgency25.0
7d Move-0.1 pts
Geopolitics expectation is steady at 7.4%. 24h move -0.1 pts. 7d move -0.1 pts. Data quality 44/100.
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