Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will Trump create a tariff dividend by December 31, 2026?
Geopolitics expectations are rising at 20.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is rising at 20.5%. 24h move +2.5 pts. 7d move +2.5 pts. Data quality 36/100.
Probability
20.5%
Signal
Watch
Score
27
Freshness
10s
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 996
Liquidity 1.2K
Spread 0.3 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality36.1
Momentum17.5
Urgency25.0
7d Move2.5 pts
Geopolitics expectation is rising at 20.5%. 24h move +2.5 pts. 7d move +2.5 pts. Data quality 36/100.
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