Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?
Geopolitics expectations are rising at 21.0% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is rising at 21.0%. 24h move +2.0 pts. 7d move +11.5 pts. Data quality 48/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
Probability
21.0%
Signal
Probability Surge
Score
36
Freshness
3m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 91.4K
Liquidity 1.8K
Spread 0.2 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality47.7
Momentum28.7
Urgency25.0
7d Move11.5 pts
Geopolitics expectation is rising at 21.0%. 24h move +2.0 pts. 7d move +11.5 pts. Data quality 48/100. Fast probability repricing; check related price action for confirmation.
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