Polymarket · Geopolitics
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?
Geopolitics expectations are falling at 59.5% on a moderate-quality market. Geopolitics expectation is steady at 59.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 42/100.
Probability
59.5%
Signal
Watch
Score
26
Freshness
4m
Probability history
Expectation over time
Volume 9.5K
Liquidity 1.2K
Spread 0.1 pts
Signal anatomy
Why it ranks here
Quality41.7
Momentum8.8
Urgency25.0
7d Move-1.0 pts
Geopolitics expectation is steady at 59.5%. 24h move -1.0 pts. 7d move -1.0 pts. Data quality 42/100.
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