- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
GTN
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Gray Television Inc · Communication Services · Broadcasting
Latest close
3.96 USD
0.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 4.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 61/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 62/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 8d.
Setup score
27
out of 100
Latest Close
3.96 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
0.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
4.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-28.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
38.5%
20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
0.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 4.2%.
Indicator stack
21/37
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
61/100 conviction; expected move 34.1%.
News sentiment
62/100
27 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
8d
Next report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 22.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 4.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.32
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 4.2% over four weeks, -28.6% over 12 weeks, and -14.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.77Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change9.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-20.83Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change16.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 90%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength45/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 56; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality20/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Momentum18/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Growth15/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework8/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 8.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.1% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 95.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 4.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 1.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -14.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -71.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 8.1% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 8.1% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 7.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
GTN shows volatility options pressure with a 61/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 34.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction61/100
Expected move34.1%
Put/call volume0.00
Insider activity9 / 2
9 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment62/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 27 relevant articles.
13 positive · 13 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings8dNext report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move34.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.4%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-23.5%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains6
Flat weeks2
Modest losses7
Sharp losses5
Recent vol7.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.0% / -5.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Communication Services
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.8%
Trend breadth41.0%
Trend41.0%active weekly trend signals
MD49.0%positive activity pressure
RS30.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Broadcasting
4-week rank5 / 16
Group average-3.5%
Trend breadth25.0%
Trend25.0%active weekly trend signals
MD43.8%positive activity pressure
RS6.2%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape26/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 26/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis19/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Factors39/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 64; Small Cap Core rank 4 SVQF8/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 936.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options38/100GTN shows volatility options pressure with a 61/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 34.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 34.1% Sentiment62/100Weighted news tone is positive across 27 relevant articles.
Gray Media: A Leveraged Local TV Recovery Bet With 2026 Political Upside (NYSE:GTN) Insiders9 / 29 acquisitions and 2 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings8dNext report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.96 USD | 0.0% | 4.42 USD | 4.81 USD | -0.77 | -20.83 | 5.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.96 USD | 4.8% | 4.44 USD | 4.83 USD | -0.74 | -21.74 | 5.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.78 USD | -8.0% | 4.47 USD | 4.86 USD | -0.66 | -26.93 | 5.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.11 USD | 8.2% | 4.52 USD | 4.88 USD | -0.71 | -20.17 | 6.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.80 USD | 0.3% | 4.52 USD | 4.90 USD | -0.85 | -24.99 | 6.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.79 USD | -1.3% | 4.55 USD | 4.91 USD | -0.95 | -27.31 | 8.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 3.84 USD | -2.2% | 4.57 USD | 4.93 USD | -1.00 | -26.03 | 5.8M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.93 USD | 0.0% | 4.59 USD | 4.94 USD | -0.79 | -24.09 | 5.9M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 3.93 USD | -1.5% | 4.61 USD | 4.96 USD | -0.52 | -26.10 | 4.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 3.99 USD | -1.9% | 4.63 USD | 4.97 USD | 0.00 | -24.13 | 7.6M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 4.06 USD | -4.2% | 4.65 USD | 4.98 USD | 0.50 | -22.15 | 9.6M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.24 USD | -23.5% | 4.66 USD | 5.00 USD | 0.78 | -18.77 | 8.4M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 5.54 USD | 1.1% | 4.67 USD | 5.01 USD | 0.96 | 8.32 | 3.7M | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 5.48 USD | -5.2% | 4.66 USD | 5.01 USD | 0.64 | 8.66 | 7.1M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.