HTGC NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Hercules Capital, Inc. · Financial Services · Asset Management

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 16.42 USD
4.4% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.4%, after a 5.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 37/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 54/100.

Setup score 53 out of 100
Latest Close 16.42 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 4.4% latest completed week
4W Return 5.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 56.35% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 4.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 5.4%. Indicator stack 16/90 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 56.35% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 37/100 conviction; expected move 6.4%. News sentiment 54/100 62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 30 Jul Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 6.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 64.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 4.4%, after a 5.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1612-week average 0.10

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.16Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.4% over four weeks, 4.3% over 12 weeks, and -4.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W4.4%
4W5.4%
12W4.3%
26W-6.3%
52W-4.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year15
Trend breadth28.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.95Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change284.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-6.97Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change47.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 02 Aug 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength74/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
Value76/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum12/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Growth91/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework74/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
8.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
86.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
62.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
16.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
26.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
47.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
11.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-2.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.4%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

HTGC shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.15, expected move of 6.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction37/100
Expected move6.4%
Put/call volume0.15
Pressure65
Speculation27
Volatility41
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity3 / 17

3 acquisitions and 17 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

18 positive · 37 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings30 JulLatest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
Options expected move6.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.3%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-11.2%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+4.4%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.2% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape50/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis32/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.16; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 56.35%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 56.35% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 79; Small Cap Core rank 31 SVQF74/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 265.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options40/100

HTGC shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.15, expected move of 6.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 6.4% Sentiment54/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

Hercules Capital: Net Asset Value And Dividend Coverage Expands (NYSE:HTGC) Insiders3 / 17

3 acquisitions and 17 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings30 Jul

Latest stored earnings date was 30 Jul 2026.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202616.42 USD4.4%15.43 USD15.53 USD0.95-6.978.5MOff
24 Jul 202615.73 USD-2.7%15.47 USD15.51 USD0.63-10.346.7MOff
17 Jul 202616.17 USD3.4%15.54 USD15.49 USD0.59-8.856.9MOff
10 Jul 202615.63 USD0.3%15.58 USD15.46 USD0.37-13.697.9MOff
3 Jul 202615.58 USD2.4%15.66 USD15.43 USD0.25-13.264.8MOff
26 Jun 202615.21 USD0.6%15.74 USD15.41 USD0.26-13.916.6MOff
19 Jun 202615.12 USD-0.1%15.80 USD15.38 USD0.31-16.845.5MOff
12 Jun 202615.13 USD-1.0%15.84 USD15.35 USD0.38-16.495.7MOff
5 Jun 202615.28 USD-1.1%15.89 USD15.32 USD0.47-15.668.0MOff
29 May 202615.45 USD0.7%15.93 USD15.29 USD0.47-17.306.7MOff
22 May 202615.34 USD-1.2%15.97 USD15.26 USD0.40-17.139.8MOff
15 May 202615.53 USD-1.4%16.00 USD15.23 USD0.19-15.8110.0MOff
8 May 202615.74 USD-0.9%16.01 USD15.19 USD0.01-14.8811.0MOff
1 May 202615.89 USD5.1%16.00 USD15.15 USD-0.29-12.487.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.