PNGJL NSI Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

P N GADGIL JEWELLERS LTD · Consumer Cyclical · Luxury Goods

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Latest close 670.3 INR
3.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 17.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 60/100.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 670.3 INR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.6% latest completed week
4W Return 17.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return -7.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 46.2% 24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 35.51% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 3.6% Latest completed week; four-week move 17.7%. Indicator stack 29/66 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 35.51% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 60/100 31 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 71.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.6%, after a 17.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.2x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2112-week average 0.39

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.21Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 17.7% over four weeks, -7.9% over 12 weeks, and 15.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.6%
4W17.7%
12W-7.9%
26W21.9%
52W15.9%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.24Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change141.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.42Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change625.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength37/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Value41/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Quality26/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth95/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework58/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
21.4x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-7.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
12.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-7.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
11.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
39.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
87.8%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

16 positive · 14 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.6%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-21.2%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+3.6%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses3
Recent vol8.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis28/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 6/12.

Activity pressure 0.21; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 35.51%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 35.51% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors42/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 5; Small Cap Core rank 47 SVQF58/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 671.0 of 1590 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment60/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 31 relevant articles.

Analysts Are Updating Their P N Gadgil Jewellers Limited (NSE:PNGJL) Estimates After Its First-Quarter Results Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026670.3 INR3.6%586.3 INR606.5 INR0.2413.428.0MOn
24 Jul 2026647.0 INR9.3%584.4 INR605.8 INR-0.0612.674.7MOff
17 Jul 2026591.8 INR0.6%583.4 INR605.4 INR-0.370.961.5MOff
10 Jul 2026588.0 INR3.3%584.0 INR605.6 INR-0.440.843.4MOff
3 Jul 2026569.3 INR6.9%584.7 INR605.7 INR-0.57-2.551.4MOff
26 Jun 2026532.7 INR-3.6%586.4 INR606.1 INR-0.53-8.010Off
19 Jun 2026552.8 INR1.0%589.6 INR606.9 INR-0.38-4.4593.1KOff
12 Jun 2026547.5 INR-4.3%592.2 INR607.5 INR-0.17-3.76240.5KOff
5 Jun 2026572.3 INR4.8%595.4 INR608.2 INR0.111.63680.6KOff
29 May 2026546.1 INR3.9%598.1 INR608.6 INR0.48-3.601.2MOff
22 May 2026525.7 INR-8.4%601.4 INR609.3 INR0.74-7.806.2MOff
15 May 2026573.9 INR-21.2%606.3 INR610.3 INR0.941.033.2MOff
8 May 2026727.9 INR11.3%609.0 INR610.7 INR1.1025.581.7MOff
1 May 2026653.8 INR-1.8%606.9 INR609.3 INR1.0514.40428.0KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.