- The trend backdrop is active with a 16-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
BAJAJ-AUTO
NSI
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Bajaj Auto Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Latest close
11,520 INR
3.5%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a 17.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 69/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.
Setup score
83
out of 100
Latest Close
11,520 INR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
3.5%
latest completed week
4W Return
17.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
9.1%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
94.2%
49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
3.5%
Latest completed week; four-week move 17.7%.
Indicator stack
97/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.89%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
69/100
39 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.4% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.5%, after a 17.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.8512-week average 0.78
12-week confirmation
Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.85Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 17.7% over four weeks, 9.1% over 12 weeks, and 45.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 16 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak16 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change407.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership24.49Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change172.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 94%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength58/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 43; rank 1 is best.
Value22/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Quality78/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
Momentum90/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Growth89/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework62/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 26.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 4.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 18.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 0.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 31.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 20.2% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 2.7% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 17.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 22.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 46.7% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.3% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 1.3% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.1x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment69/100
Weighted news tone is positive across 39 relevant articles.
25 positive · 12 neutral · 2 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.0%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-9.6%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week+3.5%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses1
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.0% / -1.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorIN Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank5 / 100
Group average1.8%
Trend breadth54.0%
Trend54.0%active weekly trend signals
MD80.0%positive activity pressure
RS56.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryIN Auto Manufacturers
4-week rank3 / 13
Group average9.3%
Trend breadth46.2%
Trend46.2%active weekly trend signals
MD92.3%positive activity pressure
RS61.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape83/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 83/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis87/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.85; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.89%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.89% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors61/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 74 SVQF62/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 597.5 of 1590 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment69/100Weighted news tone is positive across 39 relevant articles.
BFSI stocks rebound on easing crude, FII inflows; Bajaj Finance rallies, J&K Bank tumbles Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 11,520 INR | 3.5% | 9,815 INR | 8,400 INR | 1.07 | 24.49 | 1.6M | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 11,130 INR | 6.6% | 9,743 INR | 8,355 INR | 0.71 | 24.33 | 4.1M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 10,443 INR | 2.8% | 9,670 INR | 8,313 INR | 0.32 | 14.81 | 3.1M | On |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 10,156 INR | 3.8% | 9,618 INR | 8,276 INR | 0.27 | 12.82 | 1.2M | On |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 9,786 INR | -0.6% | 9,576 INR | 8,241 INR | 0.21 | 9.00 | 1.7M | On |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 9,843 INR | -2.2% | 9,549 INR | 8,207 INR | 0.24 | 11.06 | 0 | On |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 10,066 INR | 0.0% | 9,519 INR | 8,173 INR | 0.46 | 14.28 | 739.4K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 10,063 INR | -2.7% | 9,476 INR | 8,136 INR | 0.50 | 16.69 | 386.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10,342 INR | -1.1% | 9,431 INR | 8,099 INR | 0.60 | 21.86 | 247.2K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 10,460 INR | 0.5% | 9,373 INR | 8,061 INR | 0.79 | 23.02 | 1.9M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 10,403 INR | 1.7% | 9,317 INR | 8,021 INR | 0.66 | 22.18 | 1.6M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 10,233 INR | -3.1% | 9,268 INR | 7,982 INR | 0.43 | 21.23 | 1.7M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 10,563 INR | 7.2% | 9,228 INR | 7,943 INR | 0.26 | 23.08 | 3.2M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 9,855 INR | 4.4% | 9,170 INR | 7,902 INR | -0.01 | 16.51 | 1.9M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.