HMY BUE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Harmony Gold Mining Company Limited · Basic Materials · Gold

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Latest close 24,790 ARS
-2.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 35.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -1.2% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 24,790 ARS 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.1% latest completed week
4W Return -1.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return -6.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.79% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.1% Latest completed week; four-week move -1.2%. Indicator stack 33/27 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 58.79% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 51/100 26 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.3% below the Trend Line and sits at 35.1% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.1%, after a -1.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2012-week average 0.12

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.20Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -1.2% over four weeks, -6.2% over 12 weeks, and 27.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.1%
4W-1.2%
12W-6.2%
26W-24.2%
52W27.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.05Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-277.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.19Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-11.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

8 positive · 16 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.5%Week of 3 Apr.
Worst week-23.7%Week of 13 Mar.
Latest week-2.1%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses9
Recent vol7.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.2% / -7.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape29/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 29/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis14/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.20; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.79%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.79% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

HMY|Harmony Gold Mining Company Ltd|Price:15.525|Chg%:-0.005 Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202624,790 ARS-2.1%26,462 ARS16,043 ARS-0.05-23.1939.0KOff
24 Jul 202625,320 ARS9.8%26,630 ARS15,898 ARS-0.03-21.5250.4KOff
17 Jul 202623,070 ARS-2.6%26,908 ARS15,751 ARS-0.07-26.7034.1KOff
10 Jul 202623,690 ARS-5.5%27,214 ARS15,619 ARS0.06-26.7860.9KOff
3 Jul 202625,080 ARS4.3%27,451 ARS15,483 ARS-0.01-20.7840.0KOff
26 Jun 202624,040 ARS-4.0%27,583 ARS15,335 ARS-0.19-22.4117.4KOff
19 Jun 202625,040 ARS5.7%27,773 ARS15,195 ARS-0.22-23.332.3KOff
12 Jun 202623,680 ARS-0.2%27,775 ARS15,048 ARS-0.39-28.9014.2KOff
5 Jun 202623,720 ARS-12.5%27,841 ARS14,911 ARS-0.51-22.7933.9KOff
29 May 202627,120 ARS8.9%27,853 ARS14,774 ARS-0.50-14.0671.0KOff
22 May 202624,910 ARS6.2%27,779 ARS14,614 ARS-0.79-12.0466.3KOff
15 May 202623,450 ARS-11.2%27,859 ARS14,469 ARS-0.92-12.8174.0KOff
8 May 202626,420 ARS12.1%28,104 ARS14,334 ARS-0.91-3.69127.4KOff
1 May 202623,560 ARS-5.7%28,105 ARS14,180 ARS-1.06-15.8939.3KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.