GSHD NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Goosehead Insurance Inc · Financial Services · Insurance Brokers

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Latest close 58.75 USD
8.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 18.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 41.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.2%, after a 25.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 55/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 82d.

Setup score 42 out of 100
Latest Close 58.75 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 8.2% latest completed week
4W Return 25.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 35.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 8.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 25.3%. Indicator stack 0/95 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 52/100 conviction; expected move 22.0%. News sentiment 55/100 77 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 82d Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 18.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 41.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 8.2%, after a 25.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1412-week average 0.04

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 25.3% over four weeks, 35.0% over 12 weeks, and -32.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W8.2%
4W25.3%
12W35.0%
26W-14.4%
52W-32.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.60Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change204.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-13.15Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change65.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength22/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Value24/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
Quality93/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Momentum9/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Growth96/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework53/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
32.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
62.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
25.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
21.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
36.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
17.7%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
41.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-10.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
14.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
5.6%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
20.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

GSHD shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.04, expected move of 22.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction52/100
Expected move22.0%
Put/call volume0.04
Pressure100
Speculation11
Volatility73
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 77 relevant articles.

26 positive · 45 neutral · 6 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings82dNext report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move22.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.1%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-26.4%Week of 13 Feb.
Latest week+8.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses3
Sharp losses10
Recent vol11.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.7% / -6.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape33/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 33/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis25/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Factors37/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 11; Small Cap Core rank 70 SVQF53/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 343.0 of 725 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options35/100

GSHD shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.04, expected move of 22.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 22.0% Sentiment55/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 77 relevant articles.

UBS Adjusts Goosehead Insurance Price Target to $72 From $70, Maintains Buy Rating Insiders5 / 15

5 acquisitions and 15 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings82d

Next report is scheduled for 21 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202658.75 USD8.2%49.66 USD76.01 USD1.60-13.153.4MOff
17 Jul 202654.28 USD1.4%50.21 USD76.04 USD1.48-22.092.3MOff
10 Jul 202653.54 USD1.6%50.85 USD76.11 USD1.24-27.803.6MOff
3 Jul 202652.69 USD12.4%51.66 USD76.15 USD0.81-29.002.5MOff
26 Jun 202646.87 USD27.1%52.44 USD76.17 USD0.53-37.623.5MOff
19 Jun 202636.88 USD0.2%53.26 USD76.26 USD0.22-54.132.8MOff
12 Jun 202636.82 USD-4.0%54.41 USD76.39 USD0.21-54.112.0MOff
5 Jun 202638.35 USD11.5%55.48 USD76.53 USD0.09-52.322.8MOff
29 May 202634.39 USD-17.5%56.52 USD76.65 USD-0.07-60.232.9MOff
22 May 202641.68 USD10.7%57.66 USD76.78 USD-0.21-51.692.3MOff
15 May 202637.65 USD-7.9%58.74 USD76.85 USD-0.35-56.912.0MOff
8 May 202640.86 USD-6.1%59.72 USD76.96 USD-0.42-54.561.5MOff
1 May 202643.52 USD-9.8%60.64 USD77.06 USD-0.58-50.121.7MOff
24 Apr 202648.26 USD10.1%61.60 USD77.14 USD-0.75-45.022.9MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.