ALRM NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Alarm.com Holdings Inc · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 54.75 USD
5.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.7%, after a 10.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 49/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 51 out of 100
Latest Close 54.75 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 5.7% latest completed week
4W Return 10.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 15.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 5.8% 3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 5.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 10.2%. Indicator stack 7/76 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 49/100 conviction; expected move 9.4%. News sentiment 57/100 17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 15.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 73.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.7%, after a 10.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4512-week average 0.23

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.45Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals2Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 10.2% over four weeks, 15.0% over 12 weeks, and 1.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W5.7%
4W10.2%
12W15.0%
26W12.2%
52W1.3%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change34.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership0.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change102.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength38/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Value33/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Quality90/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 11; rank 1 is best.
Momentum20/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Growth34/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework69/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
20.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
12.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
7.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
63.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
17.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
18.5%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
15.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
8.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-0.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-1.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ALRM shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.48, expected move of 9.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction49/100
Expected move9.4%
Put/call volume0.48
Pressure26
Speculation44
Volatility83
Trend agreement78
Open options detail
Insider activity10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

6 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.1%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-10.7%Week of 15 May.
Latest week+5.7%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.2% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape45/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 45/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis41/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.45; No reversal markers Factors45/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 23; Small Cap Core rank 71 SVQF69/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 223.0 of 726 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options57/100

ALRM shows volatility options pressure with a 49/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.48, expected move of 9.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 9.4% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.

Alarm.com Holdings Inc Today's Market Trends | ALRM Stock Real-Time Quotes, Trading Strategies & Related Analysis | TradingKey Insiders10 / 10

10 acquisitions and 10 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202654.75 USD5.7%47.31 USD57.04 USD1.270.382.2MOn
24 Jul 202651.78 USD-2.7%47.19 USD57.02 USD1.23-4.971.8MOff
17 Jul 202653.20 USD3.3%47.19 USD57.04 USD1.25-4.452.3MOff
10 Jul 202651.50 USD3.6%47.17 USD57.04 USD1.12-11.822.3MOff
3 Jul 202649.69 USD7.2%47.19 USD57.06 USD0.94-13.962.0MOff
26 Jun 202646.34 USD4.4%47.27 USD57.07 USD0.85-19.734.3MOff
19 Jun 202644.38 USD-4.9%47.46 USD57.11 USD0.61-27.223.2MOff
12 Jun 202646.65 USD2.8%47.65 USD57.13 USD0.43-22.312.2MOff
5 Jun 202645.37 USD0.6%47.77 USD57.16 USD0.33-23.462.9MOff
29 May 202645.11 USD3.0%47.92 USD57.19 USD0.31-28.092.0MOff
22 May 202643.80 USD3.0%48.06 USD57.23 USD0.38-28.962.1MOff
15 May 202642.52 USD-10.7%48.32 USD57.27 USD0.26-30.973.0MOff
8 May 202647.60 USD1.0%48.56 USD57.32 USD0.16-23.902.3MOff
1 May 202647.13 USD5.4%48.64 USD57.32 USD-0.27-21.342.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.