GRMN NYSE Week ended 09 Oct 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Garmin Ltd · Technology · Scientific & Technical Instruments

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 268.36 USD
-4.6% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.6%, after a -5.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bearish with 29/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 12d.

Setup score 52 out of 100
Latest Close 268.36 USD 9 Oct 2026
1W Return -4.6% latest completed week
4W Return -5.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 7.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 27-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 15 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -4.6% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.1%. Indicator stack 78/47 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 55.72% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 29/100 conviction; expected move 2.4%. News sentiment 53/100 70 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 12d Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 4.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 65.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.6%, after a -5.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul 7 Aug 14 Aug 21 Aug 28 Aug 4 Sep 11 Sep 18 Sep 25 Sep 2 Oct 9 Oct
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8912-week average 0.67

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.89Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1515 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 15 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.1% over four weeks, 7.5% over 12 weeks, and 9.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 27 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.6%
4W-5.1%
12W7.5%
26W4.9%
52W9.6%
Active trend streak27 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.18Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-76.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership2.68Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-74.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 09 Oct 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 98%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength37/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
Value8/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 93; rank 1 is best.
Quality91/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Momentum67/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Growth67/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework43/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
27.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
6.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
21.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
60.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
27.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
25.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
13.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
19.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
36.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.9x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

GRMN shows bearish options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.61, expected move of 2.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction29/100
Expected move2.4%
Put/call volume2.61
Pressure-40
Speculation41
Volatility34
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 70 relevant articles.

18 positive · 48 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings12dNext report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move2.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-14.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+20.9%Week of 31 Jul.
Worst week-6.5%Week of 1 May.
Latest week-4.6%Week of 9 Oct.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.5% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis78/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 11/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.89; 15 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.72%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.72% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 68 SVQF43/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 610.5 of 1061 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options35/100

Put activity leads. Options balance does not yet confirm the saved weekly stock trend.

2026-10-15 · Checks passed · Priced move ±2.4% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 70 relevant articles.

Garmin Stock Rises on Luxury Watch Upgrades. It Keeps Moving Beyond Navigation. Insiders6 / 14

6 acquisitions and 14 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings12d

Next report is scheduled for 28 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow5 items

3 recent research articles and 2 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
9 Oct 2026268.36 USD-4.6%257.90 USD196.82 USD0.182.683.7MOn
2 Oct 2026281.16 USD-4.4%256.70 USD195.75 USD0.358.624.0MOn
25 Sep 2026294.14 USD7.3%255.38 USD194.60 USD0.4713.273.7MOn
18 Sep 2026274.06 USD-3.0%253.93 USD193.36 USD0.577.005.6MOn
11 Sep 2026282.67 USD2.4%253.03 USD192.24 USD0.7710.302.6MOn
4 Sep 2026276.00 USD-2.9%250.70 USD191.08 USD1.016.934.5MOn
28 Aug 2026284.13 USD-3.3%248.19 USD189.93 USD1.2410.174.5MOn
21 Aug 2026293.76 USD-4.9%245.39 USD188.76 USD1.4014.424.6MOn
14 Aug 2026309.05 USD-0.2%242.41 USD187.50 USD0.9618.872.8MOn
7 Aug 2026309.74 USD5.4%239.11 USD186.14 USD0.6619.594.9MOn
31 Jul 2026293.78 USD20.9%235.80 USD184.78 USD0.1517.668.9MOn
24 Jul 2026243.03 USD-2.6%232.70 USD183.54 USD-0.34-1.353.7MOn
17 Jul 2026249.56 USD2.7%231.40 USD182.62 USD-0.230.485.0MOn
10 Jul 2026243.11 USD1.3%229.74 USD181.66 USD-0.25-3.773.0MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.

Evidence context