TSM NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing · Technology · Semiconductors

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Latest close 403.4 USD
1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a -6.7% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 43/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 75d.

Setup score 61 out of 100
Latest Close 403.4 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.3% latest completed week
4W Return -6.7% short-term follow-through
12W Return 1.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 55-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 9 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -6.7%. Indicator stack 100/46 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.37% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 43/100 conviction; expected move 5.4%. News sentiment 58/100 63 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 75d Next report is scheduled for 15 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.7% above the Trend Line and sits at 70.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.3%, after a -6.7% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8812-week average 0.82

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.88Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers99 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 9 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -6.7% over four weeks, 1.7% over 12 weeks, and 66.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 55 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.3%
4W-6.7%
12W1.7%
26W21.1%
52W66.0%
Active trend streak55 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.14Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-88.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership13.16Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-50.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength100/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 1; rank 1 is best.
Value99/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Quality99/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Momentum91/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Growth98/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
0.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
0.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
199.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
64.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
56.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
93.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
49.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
30.8%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
53.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
25.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

TSM shows mixed options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.10, expected move of 5.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction43/100
Expected move5.4%
Put/call volume1.10
Pressure-8
Speculation41
Volatility55
Trend agreement96
Open options detail
Insider activity19 / 1

19 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

27 positive · 34 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings75dNext report is scheduled for 15 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.3%Week of 10 Apr.
Worst week-9.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+1.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains9
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses3
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -2.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape67/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis81/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.88; 9 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.37%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.37% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors97/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 13; Buyback Yield rank 67 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options61/100

TSM shows mixed options pressure with a 43/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.10, expected move of 5.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 5.4% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

Western Wealth Management LLC Boosts Stock Holdings in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. $TSM Insiders19 / 1

19 acquisitions and 1 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings75d

Next report is scheduled for 15 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow3 items

1 recent research articles and 2 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026403.4 USD1.3%377.9 USD213.2 USD0.1413.1662.7MOn
17 Jul 2026398.4 USD-8.2%374.5 USD211.2 USD0.6911.8191.5MOn
10 Jul 2026434.1 USD-0.0%370.8 USD209.3 USD1.1420.6960.1MOn
3 Jul 2026434.2 USD0.4%366.1 USD207.1 USD1.3023.3866.9MOn
26 Jun 2026432.4 USD-6.4%361.3 USD205.0 USD1.2026.6076.8MOn
19 Jun 2026462.1 USD9.0%356.6 USD202.8 USD0.9933.3158.9MOn
12 Jun 2026423.9 USD2.3%350.3 USD200.5 USD0.6624.8069.8MOn
5 Jun 2026414.2 USD-0.8%345.6 USD198.4 USD0.5023.7769.1MOn
29 May 2026417.5 USD3.4%341.2 USD196.4 USD0.5822.7845.0MOn
22 May 2026403.6 USD0.0%337.2 USD194.3 USD0.6021.5852.3MOn
15 May 2026403.4 USD-1.8%333.5 USD192.4 USD0.7123.7276.4MOn
8 May 2026410.8 USD3.5%329.9 USD190.3 USD0.5727.4574.2MOn
1 May 2026396.8 USD-1.2%325.5 USD188.2 USD0.2427.3964.3MOn
24 Apr 2026401.6 USD8.6%321.9 USD186.2 USD-0.0631.5171.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.