TIRUPATIFL NSI Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Tirupati Forge Limited · Industrials · Metal Fabrication

Latest close 70.00 INR
-4.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 52.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.9%, after a 4.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 64 out of 100
Latest Close 70.00 INR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.9% latest completed week
4W Return 4.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 60.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.4x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 19-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 52.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.9%, after a 4.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.4x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.8412-week average 0.78

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure11/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.84Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 4.8% over four weeks, 60.7% over 12 weeks, and 80.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 19 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.9%
4W4.8%
12W60.7%
26W106.6%
52W80.9%
Active trend streak19 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.86Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change243.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership67.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-3.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength13/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Value3/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Quality21/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 80; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth83/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework3/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
138.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
47.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-6.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
48.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
5.0%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-37.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
41.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-2.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-2.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 11 relevant articles.

2 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+38.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-13.0%Week of 27 Mar.
Latest week-4.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses3
Recent vol11.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew7.8% / -4.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202670.00 INR-4.9%45.97 INR33.15 INR1.8667.271.4MOn
24 Jul 202673.61 INR8.0%44.85 INR32.76 INR2.0783.118.4MOn
17 Jul 202668.17 INR0.1%43.52 INR32.35 INR1.5668.492.9MOn
10 Jul 202668.10 INR1.9%42.32 INR31.96 INR1.1171.376.5MOn
3 Jul 202666.82 INR38.2%41.14 INR31.57 INR0.5469.8522.1MOn
26 Jun 202648.36 INR0.8%40.01 INR31.19 INR-0.0325.410On
19 Jun 202647.98 INR6.3%39.58 INR30.92 INR0.0225.19264.9KOn
12 Jun 202645.12 INR2.3%39.09 INR30.67 INR0.0320.12222.0KOn
5 Jun 202644.11 INR-2.1%38.72 INR30.43 INR0.1319.05157.3KOn
29 May 202645.05 INR12.0%38.50 INR30.20 INR0.3221.211.9MOn
22 May 202640.22 INR-4.8%38.32 INR29.97 INR0.477.943.8MOn
15 May 202642.24 INR-3.1%38.42 INR29.77 INR0.6713.931.4MOn
8 May 202643.57 INR-1.8%38.28 INR29.56 INR0.8715.32910.7KOn
1 May 202644.36 INR-2.7%38.22 INR29.34 INR0.9219.121.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.