MTL TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Mullen Group Ltd. · Industrials · Trucking

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Latest close 27.53 CAD
-3.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 39.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.9%, after a 28.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high.

Setup score 86 out of 100
Latest Close 27.53 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -3.9% latest completed week
4W Return 28.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 30.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 55-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -3.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 28.8%. Indicator stack 100/82 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 59.64% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 56/100 13 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 39.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 92.7% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.9%, after a 28.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9712-week average 0.95

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 28.8% over four weeks, 30.7% over 12 weeks, and 120.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 55 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-3.9%
4W28.8%
12W30.7%
26W73.8%
52W120.0%
Active trend streak55 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.32Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change106.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership47.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change152.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 88%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength42/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Value35/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum91/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Growth39/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework34/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
30.3x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
5.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
23.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
7.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
6.2%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.9%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
3.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.

5 positive · 8 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-4.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.3%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-5.6%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week-3.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses1
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.6%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split37/15Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -2.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryCA Trucking
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average11.6%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

MTL · TOR28.8%TFII · TOR-5.6%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape84/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 84/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis83/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.97; 5 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 59.64%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 59.64% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors46/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 35; Small Cap Core rank 40 SVQF34/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 196.5 of 298 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.

Insider Buying: Mullen Group (TSE:MTL) Insider Buys C$267,900.00 in Stock Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202627.53 CAD-3.9%19.72 CAD14.20 CAD1.3247.072.4MOn
24 Jul 202628.66 CAD12.1%19.32 CAD14.11 CAD1.0854.241.8MOn
17 Jul 202625.56 CAD12.3%18.89 CAD14.01 CAD0.7639.722.2MOn
10 Jul 202622.76 CAD6.5%18.56 CAD13.94 CAD0.5625.391.3MOn
3 Jul 202621.38 CAD0.6%18.32 CAD13.87 CAD0.6418.61864.4KOn
26 Jun 202621.25 CAD-2.1%18.10 CAD13.82 CAD0.8119.24123.1KOn
19 Jun 202621.71 CAD-5.6%17.87 CAD13.77 CAD1.0022.3694.7KOn
12 Jun 202623.00 CAD1.9%17.61 CAD13.71 CAD1.2330.35144.1KOn
5 Jun 202622.59 CAD3.9%17.30 CAD13.64 CAD1.2230.69234.0KOn
29 May 202621.73 CAD1.7%17.01 CAD13.58 CAD1.2825.20906.6KOn
22 May 202621.37 CAD-0.4%16.74 CAD13.53 CAD1.3824.782.0MOn
15 May 202621.46 CAD1.9%16.49 CAD13.48 CAD1.2228.20900.8KOn
8 May 202621.06 CAD3.2%16.24 CAD13.43 CAD1.0025.481.4MOn
1 May 202620.41 CAD3.0%15.98 CAD13.38 CAD0.7322.802.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.