TFII TOR Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

TFI International Inc. · Industrials · Trucking

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Latest close 189.4 CAD
-10.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.8%, after a -5.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 65/100.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 189.4 CAD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -10.8% latest completed week
4W Return -5.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 86.5% 45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 2.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 35-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 13 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the weaker part of its sector group.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -10.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -5.6%. Indicator stack 93/48 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 65/100 4 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 5.3% above the Trend Line and sits at 68.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -10.8%, after a -5.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 2.0x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9312-week average 0.92

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.93Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1313 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 13 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -5.6% over four weeks, -0.0% over 12 weeks, and 63.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 35 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-10.8%
4W-5.6%
12W-0.0%
26W30.0%
52W63.7%
Active trend streak35 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.22Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-70.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.60Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-46.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value9/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Quality34/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Momentum85/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Growth7/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework17/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
58.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.9x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
3.1%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
13.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
7.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-6.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-24.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
4.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment65/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.

2 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-15.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.8%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-10.8%Week of 31 Jul.
Latest week-10.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split30/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.4% / -3.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryCA Trucking
4-week rank2 / 2
Group average11.6%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

MTL · TOR28.8%TFII · TOR-5.6%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape67/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 67/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis82/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.93; 13 reversal markers Factors34/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 24; Small Cap Core rank 87 SVQF17/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 247.0 of 298 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment65/100

Weighted news tone is positive across 4 relevant articles.

TFI International Inc. Stock 12‑Month Price Target Raised to $171.44, Implies 18% Upside Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026189.4 CAD-10.8%179.8 CAD164.2 CAD0.2210.601.8MOn
24 Jul 2026212.4 CAD-2.8%178.3 CAD164.1 CAD0.4824.09959.3KOn
17 Jul 2026218.6 CAD4.7%176.0 CAD163.8 CAD0.6328.781.1MOn
10 Jul 2026208.9 CAD4.1%173.5 CAD163.4 CAD0.6223.811.4MOn
3 Jul 2026200.6 CAD-1.8%171.2 CAD162.9 CAD0.7319.83862.6KOn
26 Jun 2026204.2 CAD0.3%169.0 CAD162.6 CAD0.8823.43192.5KOn
19 Jun 2026203.5 CAD-9.0%166.2 CAD162.2 CAD1.1023.70202.6KOn
12 Jun 2026223.6 CAD0.9%163.4 CAD161.7 CAD1.1736.78234.9KOn
5 Jun 2026221.6 CAD4.6%159.9 CAD161.1 CAD1.0738.70289.9KOn
29 May 2026212.0 CAD4.0%156.6 CAD160.6 CAD1.0632.391.3MOn
22 May 2026203.8 CAD5.4%153.7 CAD160.1 CAD1.0329.24810.0KOn
15 May 2026193.3 CAD2.0%151.1 CAD159.7 CAD0.9725.641.0MOn
8 May 2026189.4 CAD-1.8%149.0 CAD159.4 CAD0.8622.751.4MOn
1 May 2026192.8 CAD1.7%146.7 CAD159.1 CAD0.7126.242.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.