- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
BBL
ASX
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Brisbane Broncos Limited · Communication Services · Entertainment
Latest close
1.26 AUD
-7.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.3%, after a -1.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.
Setup score
33
out of 100
Latest Close
1.26 AUD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-7.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
-1.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-21.2%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
84.6%
44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-7.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move -1.2%.
Indicator stack
47/30
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
53/100
18 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 27.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -7.3%, after a -1.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3612-week average 0.64
12-week confirmation
Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.36Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -1.2% over four weeks, -21.2% over 12 weeks, and 22.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.17Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change9.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.61Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-33.6%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 79%
Model confidence 64%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength77/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 24; rank 1 is best.
Value85/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 16; rank 1 is best.
Quality16/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 85; rank 1 is best.
Momentum93/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 17.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.8x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 11.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 91.6% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -19.0% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 15.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -59.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 24.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 35.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 112.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 2.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.2% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment53/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
3 positive · 15 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+26.0%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-13.7%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-7.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses10
Recent vol10.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.7% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAU Communication Services
4-week rank28 / 44
Group average-0.4%
Trend breadth15.9%
Trend15.9%active weekly trend signals
MD43.2%positive activity pressure
RS20.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAU Entertainment
4-week rank5 / 8
Group average-1.9%
Trend breadth12.5%
Trend12.5%active weekly trend signals
MD62.5%positive activity pressure
RS12.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape34/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 34/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis33/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 6/12.
Activity pressure 0.36; No reversal markers Factors65/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 53; Small Cap Core rank 79 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 18 relevant articles.
ASX Penny Stocks To Watch: Brisbane Broncos And Two More Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1.26 AUD | -7.3% | 1.58 AUD | 1.10 AUD | -1.17 | -14.61 | 39.3K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1.36 AUD | -1.4% | 1.59 AUD | 1.10 AUD | -1.10 | -5.47 | 15.7K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 1.39 AUD | 10.8% | 1.59 AUD | 1.09 AUD | -1.12 | -3.94 | 75.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 1.25 AUD | -2.3% | 1.59 AUD | 1.09 AUD | -1.18 | -12.94 | 88.8K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 1.28 AUD | -6.6% | 1.60 AUD | 1.09 AUD | -1.29 | -10.93 | 83.3K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 1.37 AUD | -11.6% | 1.61 AUD | 1.09 AUD | -1.26 | -3.39 | 15.3K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 1.55 AUD | 3.0% | 1.61 AUD | 1.08 AUD | -1.07 | 9.12 | 4.3K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 1.50 AUD | -5.6% | 1.61 AUD | 1.08 AUD | -0.87 | 7.12 | 4.4K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 1.59 AUD | -8.1% | 1.60 AUD | 1.08 AUD | -0.75 | 16.79 | 41.9K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 1.74 AUD | -0.6% | 1.59 AUD | 1.07 AUD | -0.81 | 26.72 | 321 | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 1.75 AUD | 26.0% | 1.57 AUD | 1.07 AUD | -0.68 | 29.87 | 29.2K | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 1.39 AUD | -13.7% | 1.55 AUD | 1.06 AUD | -0.61 | 4.58 | 82.3K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 1.60 AUD | -5.6% | 1.55 AUD | 1.06 AUD | -0.51 | 20.20 | 17.8K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 1.70 AUD | -2.3% | 1.54 AUD | 1.05 AUD | -0.16 | 28.73 | 68.9K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.