SXL ASX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Southern Cross Media Group Limited · Communication Services · Entertainment

Latest close 0.54 AUD
1.9% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 0.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 21 out of 100
Latest Close 0.54 AUD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.9% latest completed week
4W Return 0.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return -6.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 38.5% 20 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.2x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 8.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.9%, after a 0.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.2x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2312-week average 0.23

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure9/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.23Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 0.9% over four weeks, -6.9% over 12 weeks, and -3.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.9%
4W0.9%
12W-6.9%
26W-15.6%
52W-3.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year20
Trend breadth38.5%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-167.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-21.90Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-0.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2025 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 44%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength84/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 17; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum17/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Growth7/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
27.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
12.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
79.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
13.2%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
5.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-15.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
196.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
7.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
7.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 32 relevant articles.

2 positive · 26 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-42.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.2%Week of 20 Feb.
Worst week-7.6%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+1.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -3.3%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20260.54 AUD1.9%0.59 AUD0.69 AUD-0.13-21.90578.6KOff
24 Jul 20260.53 AUD-1.9%0.60 AUD0.69 AUD-0.04-21.65750.6KOff
17 Jul 20260.54 AUD-0.9%0.61 AUD0.69 AUD0.12-20.48810.2KOff
10 Jul 20260.55 AUD1.9%0.62 AUD0.69 AUD0.22-19.92787.6KOff
3 Jul 20260.54 AUD-2.7%0.63 AUD0.70 AUD0.19-21.742.9MOff
26 Jun 20260.55 AUD-2.7%0.64 AUD0.70 AUD0.28-18.80733.0KOff
19 Jun 20260.56 AUD0.9%0.65 AUD0.70 AUD0.33-17.15406.7KOff
12 Jun 20260.56 AUD-6.7%0.66 AUD0.70 AUD0.42-17.65631.2KOff
5 Jun 20260.60 AUD-2.4%0.67 AUD0.70 AUD0.35-10.171.8MOff
29 May 20260.61 AUD7.0%0.67 AUD0.70 AUD0.23-9.09159.3KOff
22 May 20260.57 AUD5.5%0.68 AUD0.70 AUD0.10-14.3921.1MOff
15 May 20260.55 AUD-6.0%0.69 AUD0.70 AUD-0.30-18.901.4MOff
8 May 20260.58 AUD-2.5%0.70 AUD0.70 AUD-0.51-15.272.8MOff
1 May 20260.59 AUD4.4%0.71 AUD0.70 AUD-0.69-13.272.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.