PENG NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Penguin Solutions, Inc. · Technology · Information Technology Services

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Latest close 52.63 USD
-2.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 41.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a -14.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 34/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 73d.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 52.63 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.3% latest completed week
4W Return -14.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 53.8% 28 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 14-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 5 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -14.3%. Indicator stack 75/55 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Mixed 34/100 conviction; expected move 23.1%. News sentiment 53/100 56 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 73d Next report is scheduled for 13 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 41.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.3%, after a -14.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9312-week average 0.84

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.93Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers55 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 5 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -14.3% over four weeks, 19.0% over 12 weeks, and 130.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 14 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.3%
4W-14.3%
12W19.0%
26W174.0%
52W130.7%
Active trend streak14 weeks
Active weeks in one year28
Trend breadth53.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.58Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-62.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership60.38Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-36.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 May 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength25/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Value12/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Quality34/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Momentum96/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 5; rank 1 is best.
Growth73/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework38/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
28.6x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.8x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
18.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-1.5%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
27.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
8.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
-3.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
20.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
12.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-125.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
2.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

PENG shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.13, expected move of 23.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction34/100
Expected move23.1%
Put/call volume1.13
Pressure-5
Speculation10
Volatility96
Trend agreement77
Open options detail
Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

15 positive · 31 neutral · 10 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings73dNext report is scheduled for 13 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move23.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-41.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility15.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+41.6%Week of 8 May.
Worst week-22.9%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-2.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains13
Modest gains2
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses5
Recent vol15.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew8.8% / -6.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis82/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.93; 5 reversal markers Factors39/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 22; Small Cap Core rank 77 SVQF38/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 449.5 of 726 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options53/100

PENG shows mixed options pressure with a 34/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 1.13, expected move of 23.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 23.1% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 56 relevant articles.

Penguin Solutions: Record Q3 2026 Growth Supports A Higher Price Target (NASDAQ:PENG) Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings73d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.

 Research flow1 items

0 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202652.63 USD-2.3%37.31 USD23.76 USD0.5860.3815.3MOn
24 Jul 202653.85 USD-10.9%36.23 USD23.60 USD0.9667.3718.2MOn
17 Jul 202660.41 USD-22.9%35.11 USD23.42 USD1.3587.3826.3MOn
10 Jul 202678.31 USD27.5%33.75 USD23.20 USD1.55137.0540.4MOn
3 Jul 202661.44 USD-1.3%31.84 USD22.87 USD1.5594.6313.6MOn
26 Jun 202662.25 USD-7.3%30.51 USD22.65 USD1.73103.1719.6MOn
19 Jun 202667.12 USD4.7%29.11 USD22.44 USD1.78113.9910.9MOn
12 Jun 202664.10 USD7.1%27.45 USD22.18 USD1.85115.0312.7MOn
5 Jun 202659.86 USD7.2%25.95 USD21.94 USD1.92110.5618.8MOn
29 May 202655.83 USD4.9%24.68 USD21.71 USD1.9491.9212.3MOn
22 May 202653.21 USD13.6%23.56 USD21.50 USD1.9792.0814.7MOn
15 May 202646.82 USD5.9%22.53 USD21.30 USD1.9974.4927.3MOn
8 May 202644.23 USD41.6%21.69 USD21.13 USD1.9566.7920.8MOn
1 May 202631.24 USD1.8%20.93 USD20.95 USD1.7725.978.6MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.