- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
CAS
TOR
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Cascades Inc. · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Latest close
13.13 CAD
5.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 12.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 11.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 51/100.
Setup score
67
out of 100
Latest Close
13.13 CAD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
5.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
11.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
23.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move 11.6%.
Indicator stack
28/100
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
51/100
16 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 12.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.1%, after a 11.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.4012-week average 0.21
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.40Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers11 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 11.6% over four weeks, 23.0% over 12 weeks, and 48.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.96Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change575.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.36Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change306.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 87%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength98/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 3; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum73/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Growth29/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 16.6x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.0x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 2.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 97.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 95.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 0.1% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 1849.7% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 1.6% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 158.0% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 3.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 3.6x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
2 positive · 13 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.5%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-14.1%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+5.1%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses4
Recent vol3.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank2 / 51
Group average-3.2%
Trend breadth45.1%
Trend45.1%active weekly trend signals
MD56.9%positive activity pressure
RS31.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Packaging & Containers
4-week rank1 / 8
Group average0.6%
Trend breadth62.5%
Trend62.5%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape61/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 61/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis24/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 2/12.
Activity pressure 0.40; 1 reversal markers Factors89/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 73; Small Cap Core rank 7 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 16 relevant articles.
Scotiabank Weighs in on Cascades' FY2026 Earnings (TSE:CAS) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 13.13 CAD | 5.1% | 11.70 CAD | 10.31 CAD | 0.96 | 6.36 | 1.4M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 12.49 CAD | 7.0% | 11.66 CAD | 10.30 CAD | 0.81 | 1.76 | 1.2M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 11.67 CAD | -2.5% | 11.65 CAD | 10.28 CAD | 0.48 | -4.87 | 1.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 11.97 CAD | 1.7% | 11.65 CAD | 10.27 CAD | 0.14 | -2.24 | 676.5K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 11.77 CAD | 5.8% | 11.66 CAD | 10.26 CAD | -0.20 | -3.08 | 996.2K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 11.12 CAD | 2.2% | 11.68 CAD | 10.25 CAD | -0.53 | -8.31 | 98.1K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 10.88 CAD | 1.3% | 11.71 CAD | 10.25 CAD | -0.78 | -10.26 | 270.8K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10.74 CAD | -2.1% | 11.75 CAD | 10.24 CAD | -0.90 | -10.19 | 135.0K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 10.97 CAD | 4.6% | 11.78 CAD | 10.24 CAD | -0.90 | -9.29 | 1.7M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 10.49 CAD | 1.6% | 11.77 CAD | 10.24 CAD | -1.08 | -12.54 | 1.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 10.32 CAD | -3.2% | 11.79 CAD | 10.23 CAD | -1.10 | -12.41 | 1.3M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 10.66 CAD | -0.2% | 11.78 CAD | 10.23 CAD | -1.10 | -10.29 | 1.3M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 10.68 CAD | 0.5% | 11.73 CAD | 10.23 CAD | -1.19 | -9.63 | 976.0K | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 10.63 CAD | -1.1% | 11.69 CAD | 10.23 CAD | -1.18 | -10.18 | 989.1K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.