TOY TOR Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Spin Master Corp. · Consumer Cyclical · Leisure

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Latest close 22.77 CAD
1.7% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 69.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 12.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 50 out of 100
Latest Close 22.77 CAD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.7% latest completed week
4W Return 12.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 12.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 5.8% 3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 3-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.02% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.7% Latest completed week; four-week move 12.1%. Indicator stack 14/74 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.02% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 12 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 17.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 69.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 12.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4412-week average 0.21

12-week confirmation

Trend active3/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.44Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 12.1% over four weeks, 12.6% over 12 weeks, and -9.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 3 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.7%
4W12.1%
12W12.6%
26W17.8%
52W-9.2%
Active trend streak3 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.06Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change62.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership3.42Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change135.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength42/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality22/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Momentum13/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Growth18/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
53.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-1.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
10.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-1.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-6.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-41.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
2.1%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.9%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.

1 positive · 10 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.2%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-6.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+1.7%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains5
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol4.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -3.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

IndustryCA Leisure
4-week rank1 / 3
Group average3.5%
Trend breadth100.0%
Trend100.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS66.7%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

TOY · TOR12.1%ICE · TOR0.7%TWC · TOR-2.3%
08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape43/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 43/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis47/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 3/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 2/12.

Activity pressure 0.44; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.02%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.02% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors37/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 17; Small Cap Core rank 27 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 12 relevant articles.

Spin Master (TSX:TOY) Moves Above Key Technical Level Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202622.77 CAD1.7%19.32 CAD26.49 CAD1.063.42674.4KOn
17 Jul 202622.39 CAD2.5%19.22 CAD26.55 CAD1.151.16574.0KOn
10 Jul 202621.84 CAD3.3%19.14 CAD26.62 CAD0.94-2.26695.3KOn
3 Jul 202621.15 CAD4.1%19.08 CAD26.69 CAD0.83-5.97764.8KOff
26 Jun 202620.32 CAD10.2%19.05 CAD26.77 CAD0.65-9.672.1MOff
19 Jun 202618.44 CAD-2.7%19.05 CAD26.85 CAD0.46-18.6380.1KOff
12 Jun 202618.95 CAD0.8%19.08 CAD26.94 CAD0.62-17.10437.5KOff
5 Jun 202618.80 CAD1.3%19.10 CAD27.03 CAD0.67-17.29162.3KOff
29 May 202618.57 CAD-0.9%19.13 CAD27.13 CAD0.90-19.931.3MOff
22 May 202618.73 CAD0.2%19.19 CAD27.21 CAD1.09-19.351.4MOff
15 May 202618.70 CAD-5.1%19.25 CAD27.31 CAD0.98-18.841.5MOff
8 May 202619.72 CAD-2.5%19.25 CAD27.41 CAD0.82-16.041.3MOff
1 May 202620.23 CAD8.7%19.20 CAD27.51 CAD0.57-14.281.6MOff
24 Apr 202618.61 CAD-0.5%19.18 CAD27.61 CAD0.03-21.82600.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.