- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
WPK
TOR
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Winpak Ltd. · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers
Latest close
45.48 CAD
1.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 6.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100.
Setup score
52
out of 100
Latest Close
45.48 CAD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
1.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
6.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
13.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
30.8%
16 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
1.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 6.2%.
Indicator stack
17/76
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
News sentiment
56/100
19 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is 3.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 49.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.7%, after a 6.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2112-week average 0.17
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.21Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 6.2% over four weeks, 13.0% over 12 weeks, and 13.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year16
Trend breadth30.8%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change185.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-5.39Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change54.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength68/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Value70/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Quality70/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Momentum26/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Growth38/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 63; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework65/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 19.4x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 2.4x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 9.7x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.2% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 30.4% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 15.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.9% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 13.0% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.4% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 3.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -1.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
6 positive · 12 neutral · 1 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-12.8%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.8%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-7.4%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week+1.7%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains2
Modest gains12
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol2.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.1% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorCA Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank6 / 51
Group average-3.2%
Trend breadth45.1%
Trend45.1%active weekly trend signals
MD56.9%positive activity pressure
RS31.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryCA Packaging & Containers
4-week rank3 / 8
Group average0.6%
Trend breadth62.5%
Trend62.5%active weekly trend signals
MD75.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape46/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 46/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis17/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.21; No reversal markers Factors59/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 12; Small Cap Core rank 40 SVQF65/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 105.5 of 300 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 19 relevant articles.
Winpak (TSX:WPK) Strengthens Focus On Essential Packaging Markets Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 45.48 CAD | 1.7% | 44.16 CAD | 41.71 CAD | 0.62 | -5.39 | 496.2K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 44.72 CAD | 1.8% | 44.13 CAD | 41.66 CAD | 0.41 | -6.92 | 368.9K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 43.92 CAD | 0.1% | 44.13 CAD | 41.62 CAD | 0.10 | -9.18 | 310.4K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 43.88 CAD | 2.5% | 44.14 CAD | 41.58 CAD | -0.34 | -9.69 | 196.5K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 42.81 CAD | 4.0% | 44.12 CAD | 41.55 CAD | -0.73 | -11.72 | 510.6K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 41.18 CAD | 0.8% | 44.16 CAD | 41.52 CAD | -1.10 | -15.56 | 887.9K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 40.86 CAD | 0.0% | 44.24 CAD | 41.50 CAD | -1.32 | -16.70 | 49.0K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 40.85 CAD | -0.4% | 44.33 CAD | 41.49 CAD | -1.25 | -16.05 | 44.3K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 41.02 CAD | 1.4% | 44.40 CAD | 41.48 CAD | -1.20 | -17.15 | 195.5K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 40.44 CAD | 1.4% | 44.47 CAD | 41.48 CAD | -1.17 | -18.17 | 191.9K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 39.87 CAD | -1.4% | 44.58 CAD | 41.48 CAD | -1.08 | -18.33 | 401.8K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 40.45 CAD | 0.5% | 44.64 CAD | 41.50 CAD | -1.09 | -18.27 | 303.9K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 40.24 CAD | -5.4% | 44.64 CAD | 41.51 CAD | -1.05 | -18.78 | 330.7K | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 42.53 CAD | -1.3% | 44.68 CAD | 41.53 CAD | -0.97 | -14.78 | 342.9K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.