PRCH NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Porch Group Inc · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

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Latest close 14.45 USD
22.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 48.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 22.0%, after a -4.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 2d.

Setup score 56 out of 100
Latest Close 14.45 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 22.0% latest completed week
4W Return -4.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 31.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 42.3% 22 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 8-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 22.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.9%. Indicator stack 51/73 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 52/100 conviction; expected move 19.8%. News sentiment 57/100 66 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 2d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 48.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 61.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 22.0%, after a -4.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.6x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7212-week average 0.43

12-week confirmation

Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership5/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.72Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.9% over four weeks, 31.7% over 12 weeks, and 17.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 8 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W22.0%
4W-4.9%
12W31.7%
26W83.1%
52W17.5%
Active trend streak8 weeks
Active weeks in one year22
Trend breadth42.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.37Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-15.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership15.74Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-0.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 85% Model confidence 81%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength39/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 62; rank 1 is best.
Value30/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 71; rank 1 is best.
Quality95/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 6; rank 1 is best.
Momentum23/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Growth74/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 27; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
15.2x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
72.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
16.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
20.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
13.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
8/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

PRCH shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.25, expected move of 19.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction52/100
Expected move19.8%
Put/call volume0.25
Pressure62
Speculation42
Volatility96
Trend agreement26
Open options detail
Insider activity7 / 13

7 acquisitions and 13 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.

22 positive · 39 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move19.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-25.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility11.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+30.7%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-13.5%Week of 24 Jul.
Latest week+22.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains11
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses9
Recent vol11.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol10.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew10.5% / -7.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis67/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 5/12.

Activity pressure 0.72; No reversal markers Factors47/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 59; Small Cap Core rank 76 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options43/100

PRCH shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.25, expected move of 19.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 19.8% Sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 66 relevant articles.

Porch Group (NASDAQ:PRCH) Price Target Raised to $23.00 at Benchmark Insiders7 / 13

7 acquisitions and 13 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings2d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202614.45 USD22.0%9.76 USD6.43 USD1.3715.7414.6MOn
24 Jul 202611.84 USD-13.5%9.59 USD6.35 USD1.40-4.786.9MOn
17 Jul 202613.68 USD-7.9%9.49 USD6.28 USD1.767.538.3MOn
10 Jul 202614.85 USD-2.2%9.33 USD6.20 USD1.8011.357.8MOn
3 Jul 202615.19 USD9.4%9.17 USD6.12 USD1.6115.7510.4MOn
26 Jun 202613.89 USD12.2%8.97 USD6.03 USD1.346.6614.6MOn
19 Jun 202612.38 USD20.4%8.83 USD5.95 USD1.12-9.3910.9MOn
12 Jun 202610.28 USD11.0%8.73 USD5.87 USD0.96-23.055.7MOn
5 Jun 20269.26 USD-11.1%8.71 USD5.82 USD1.01-29.526.6MOff
29 May 202610.42 USD9.0%8.76 USD5.77 USD1.23-24.845.8MOff
22 May 20269.56 USD-2.8%8.91 USD5.71 USD1.37-29.308.5MOff
15 May 20269.84 USD-10.3%9.14 USD5.66 USD1.25-26.848.3MOff
8 May 202610.97 USD6.4%9.31 USD5.60 USD1.10-19.2712.3MOff
1 May 202610.31 USD30.7%9.44 USD5.54 USD0.59-20.4219.5MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.