SAFT NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Safety Insurance Group Inc · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

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Latest close 103.2 USD
39.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 38.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 39.2%, after a 37.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; earnings are due in 7d.

Setup score 67 out of 100
Latest Close 103.2 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 39.2% latest completed week
4W Return 37.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 38.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 32.7% 17 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 3.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 39.24% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 3 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 39.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 37.2%. Indicator stack 21/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 39.24% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bearish 42/100 conviction; expected move 2.6%. News sentiment 58/100 63 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 7d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 38.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 99.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 39.2%, after a 37.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 3.1x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3712-week average 0.31

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.37Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers33 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 3 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 37.2% over four weeks, 38.3% over 12 weeks, and 53.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W39.2%
4W37.2%
12W38.3%
26W39.5%
52W53.3%
Active trend streak1 weeks
Active weeks in one year17
Trend breadth32.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.95Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change46941.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership29.40Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change422.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength76/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Value71/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 30; rank 1 is best.
Quality29/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Momentum79/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Growth12/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
24.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
16.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
11.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
32.7%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
6.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
14.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
7.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-13.1%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
15.3%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBearish

SAFT shows bearish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 8.00, expected move of 2.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction42/100
Expected move2.6%
Put/call volume8.00
Pressure-90
Speculation4
Volatility18
Trend agreement6
Open options detail
Insider activity0 / 3

0 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

28 positive · 26 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings7dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move2.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility10.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+39.2%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-5.5%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+39.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains2
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses13
Sharp losses1
Recent vol10.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/28Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.0% / -1.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape59/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 59/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis22/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 1/12.

Activity pressure 0.37; 3 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 39.24%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 39.24% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors62/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 28; Small Cap Core rank 34 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options31/100

SAFT shows bearish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 8.00, expected move of 2.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 2.6% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

Form 4 Safety Insurance Group Inc For: 28 July By Investing.com Insiders0 / 3

0 acquisitions and 3 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings7d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026103.2 USD39.2%74.67 USD72.09 USD0.9529.402.1MOn
17 Jul 202674.14 USD-1.9%73.78 USD71.83 USD0.75-8.05549.6KOff
10 Jul 202675.55 USD-2.5%73.85 USD71.74 USD0.56-10.46460.2KOff
3 Jul 202677.47 USD3.0%73.89 USD71.63 USD0.38-6.82509.4KOff
26 Jun 202675.21 USD6.6%73.73 USD71.52 USD0.00-9.13943.9KOff
19 Jun 202670.53 USD-1.8%73.66 USD71.44 USD-0.56-19.03675.5KOff
12 Jun 202671.81 USD2.2%73.78 USD71.38 USD-0.76-15.98702.9KOff
5 Jun 202670.27 USD1.5%73.87 USD71.33 USD-1.01-16.47640.2KOff
29 May 202669.25 USD-3.5%73.92 USD71.30 USD-1.06-21.95329.0KOff
22 May 202671.77 USD2.4%73.82 USD71.27 USD-0.78-17.51321.7KOff
15 May 202670.10 USD-0.6%73.67 USD71.21 USD-0.55-19.11438.0KOff
8 May 202670.49 USD-5.5%73.56 USD71.16 USD-0.29-19.57515.5KOff
1 May 202674.63 USD-0.6%73.43 USD71.09 USD-0.19-10.90397.1KOn
24 Apr 202675.04 USD-0.8%73.22 USD71.00 USD-0.30-9.57413.7KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.